Proudly afflicting the comfortable [and collecting shiny things] since March 2003

Send Magpie an email!


RSS Feeds
Click button to subscribe.

Subscribe to Magpie via Feedburner  Magpie's RSS feed via Bloglines
Add to Netvibes

Need a password?
Click the button!


Bypass 'free' registration!


Cost of the Iraq War [US$]
(JavaScript Error)
[Find out more here]

Hooded Liberty


BLOGS WE LIKE
3quarksdaily
Alas, a Blog
alphabitch
Back to Iraq
Baghdad Burning
Bitch Ph.D.
blac (k) ademic
Blog Report
Blogs by Women
BOPNews
Broadsheet
Burnt Orange Report
Confined Space
Cursor
Daily Kos
Dangereuse trilingue
Echidne of the Snakes
Effect Measure
Eschaton (Atrios)
feministe
Feministing
Firedoglake
Follow Me Here
gendergeek
Gordon.Coale
The Housing Bubble New!
I Blame the Patriarchy
Juan Cole/Informed Comment
Kicking Ass
The King's Blog
The Krile Files
Left Coaster
librarian.net
Loaded Orygun
Making Light
Marian's Blog
mediagirl
Muslim Wake Up! Blog
My Left Wing
NathanNewman.org
The NewsHoggers
Null Device
Orcinus
Pacific Views
Pandagon
The Panda's Thumb
Pedantry
Peking Duck
Philobiblon
Pinko Feminist Hellcat
Political Animal
Reality-Based Community
Riba Rambles
The Rittenhouse Review
Road to Surfdom
Romenesko
SCOTUSblog
The Sideshow
The Silence of Our Friends New!
Sisyphus Shrugged
skippy
Suburban Guerrilla
Talk Left
Talking Points Memo
TAPPED
This Modern World
The Unapologetic Mexican New!
veiled4allah
Wampum
War and Piece
wood s lot
xymphora

MISSING IN ACTION
Body and Soul
fafblog
General Glut's Globlog
Respectful of Otters
RuminateThis


Image by Propaganda Remix Project. Click to see more.


WHO'S IN CHARGE HERE?
Magpie is a former journalist, attempted historian [No, you can't ask how her thesis is going], and full-time corvid of the lesbian persuasion. She keeps herself in birdseed by writing those bad computer manuals that you toss out without bothering to read them. She also blogs too much when she's not on deadline, both here and at Pacific Views.

Magpie roosts in Portland, Oregon, where she annoys her housemates (as well as her cats Medea, Whiskers, and Jane Doe) by attempting to play Irish music on the fiddle and concertina.

If you like, you can send Magpie an email!



WHO LINKS TO MAGPIE?
Ask Technorati.
Or ask WhoLinksToMe.


Politics Blog Top Sites

Progressive Women's Blog Ring

Join | List |
Previous | Next | Random |
Previous 5 | Next 5 |
Skip Previous | Skip Next

Powered by RingSurf



Creative Commons License


This work is licensed under a Creative Commons License.

Check to open links in new windows. Uncheck to see comments.


Monday, October 16, 2006

The times they are a'changing?

It turns out that the one of the biggest changes that the Dubya's administration and the (since 1994) GOP controlled Congress has made in the country is to turn young people solidly toward the Democrats. The Pew Research Center for the People and the Press has compiled party identification data for people who turned age 20 under various presidencies, and the NY Times used that dat to come up with a very interesting chart. Since that chart is so huge, I've edited it to show just what's happened since Reagan was president.


Graphic showing party identification of voters of various ages, 1932–2006

[Source: Pew Center for the People and the Press survey
of 23,000 voters between Jan and Oct 2006; Graphic: Bill Marsh/NY Times]


If look at the full chart, you can see that the shift toward young people identifying as Democrats has not only accelerated since Bush I was in office, but that the shift toward the Democrats exceeds even the one that occurred during the Roosevelt and Truman years. While nothing is for certain, it's looking like the GOP may need to start preparing for a generation in the wilderness, much like the Democrats have been enduring since Ronald Reagan became president in 1980.

While I was over at the Pew Center website, I found a some other charts that have more direct bearing on this November's election. First, here are some charts showing the comparative enthusiasm of Democratic and Republican voters.


Graphic showing voter enthusiasm by party identification, 2006

[Source/graphic: Pew Center for the People and the Press]


Unlike during the previous three midterm elections, the Pew survey shows that Democrats are following the current campaign more closely and are more enthusiastic about voting than are GOP voters. And, insofar as enthusiasm goes, the current figures are almost exactly the opposite of those for 1994, when the Republicans swept to control of Congress.

Even more worrisome for GOP strategists is the following chart, which shows that the Democrats have a huge lead among likely voters.


Graphic showing intentions of likely voters, 2006

[Source/graphic: Pew Center for the People and the Press]


Again, the only really comparable year for the GOP is 1994. Even so, the current Democratic lead among likely voters is even larger than that the Republicans enjoyed the year they made their largest congressional gains in recent history.

So while its dangerous to assume that Democrats will necessarily win control of Congress next month, this new research from the Pew Center agrees with other polls showing that lots of GOP legislators should start looking for new jobs come next January.

But better for the country — and more worrying for the GOP — are the numbers showing that young voters have not been impressed by the way that Republicans have been running the country. As this group of voters gets older and increasingly likely to actually show up at the polls, long-term GOP political fortunes look to be heading right into the toilet.

| | Posted by Magpie at 12:40 AM | Get permalink




Liar, liar, pants on fire!


NEWS HEADLINES

Mail & Guardian [S. Africa]
NEWS LINKS
BBC News
CBC News
Agence France Presse
Reuters
Associated Press
Aljazeera
Inter Press Service
Watching America
International Herald Tribune
Guardian (UK)
Independent (UK)
USA Today
NY Times (US)
Washington Post (US)
McClatchy Washington Bureau (US)
Boston Globe (US)
LA Times (US)
Globe & Mail (Canada)
Toronto Star (Canada)
Sydney Morning Herald (Australia)
AllAfrica.com
Mail & Guardian (South Africa)
Al-Ahram (Egypt)
Daily Star (Lebanon)
Haaretz (Israel)
Hindustan Times (India)
Japan Times (Japan)
Asia Times (Hong Kong)
EurasiaNet
New Scientist News
Paper Chase
OpenCongress

COMMENT & ANALYSIS
Molly Ivins
CJR Daily
Women's eNews
Raw Story
The Gadflyer
Working for Change
Common Dreams
AlterNet
Truthdig
Truthout
Salon
Democracy Now!
American Microphone
rabble
The Revealer
Current
Editor & Publisher
Economic Policy Institute
Center for American Progress
The Memory Hole


Irish-American fiddler Liz Carroll

IRISH MUSIC
Céilí House (RTE Radio)
TheSession.org
The Irish Fiddle
Fiddler Magazine
Concertina.net
Concertina Library
A Guide to the Irish Flute
Chiff & Fipple
Irtrad-l Archives
Ceolas
Comhaltas Ceoltoiri Eireann
BBC Virtual Session
JC's ABC Tune Finder

SHINY THINGS
alt.portland
Propaganda Remix Project
Ask a Ninja
grow-a-brain
Boiling Point
Bruno
Cat and Girl
Dykes to Watch Out For
Library of Congress
American Heritage Dictionary
Dictonary of Newfoundland English
American's Guide to Canada
Digital History of the San Fernando Valley
MetaFilter
Blithe House Quarterly
Astronomy Pic of the Day
Earth Science Picture of the Day
Asia Grace
Gaelic Curse Engine
Old Dinosaur Books



ARCHIVES